Sold my YES on 5+. Only two GOP flips are called (TX-32, TN-9), Florida's new map gained them nothing, and NC-1 and MO-5 held. Now NO on 5+ (market 66% when I bet, I have ~15%) and on 10+ (36%, I have ~2%). Only LA-6 and ME-2 still look likely. https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2026/11/04/floridas-redrawn-congressional-map-did-not-deliver-republicans-new-seats/

Bought YES on 5+ and NO on 20+. Market had 5+ at ~67%, I've got it ~85%. The new maps already make six Dem-held seats likely Republican pickups on Polymarket (LA-6 96%, TX-32 85%, TN-9 84%, TX-9 73%, FL-9 67%, AL-2 57%). 20+ was ~21%; I'd say ~5%, it needs a red wave Kalshi barely prices. https://polymarket.com/event/la-06-house-election-winner