So far lots of people picking 50-55 and some on 30-35 but no one in the 40s. No one wants to retire in their 40s???

@Eliza "want" & "plan" are different, no? I wanted to not start working in the first place, personally

You forgot, "I do not believe retirement will be financially feasible." "Never" also captures lunatics who WANT to work forever, alongside people who think they will be FORCED to work forever.

@ChurlishGambit I thought about including more options similar to those but I was really really interested specifically in the age component moreso than the reasons.

Excuse me? An Eliza poll without "See results"?!

This would be one of the rare cases where I would use it. I put considerable effort into trying to save for retirement, but general living expenses and medical bills keep hammering me back down when I think I find an edge.

The fog of war is too dense for me to peg a specific age or date for retirement. Inflation, war, stability of the dollar and lack thereof. My consumer sentiment is low on retiring.

@Quroe I had the box checked but when you switch to multi select it disappears. I've been bitten by that several times now because @Gen is a criminal and only implemented See Results as a hack.

@Eliza peace and love

@Gen can we get sort order selection on polls? I feel like that is dearly missing. I don't like how they are out of order.

@Eliza its on a list in a notepad file behind the other someday-soon queue of stuff. Eventually!

My previous wording is bothering me.

Remove "stability of the dollar and lack thereof" and substitute it with "looming bubble".

@Quroe If you pick a large year option you have more years left to figure out that bubble thing!

Is there a stigma against retiring before 55?

Do you think AI will change this?

@Eliza why are all the numbers so low? Can I get a log scale or something?

@EvanDaniel I left the top category open ended. This should cover all ages up to 1000.

@Eliza Anyway I can't see how AI could possibly not drastically change this.

Maybe we're all dead before I hit reasonable retirement age. Maybe wild and weird abundance happens and I either retire in a decade or less or retirement ceases to be meaningful in its current sense. Maybe we just get greatly increased healthspan / lifespan before I would have otherwise retired. Lots of options, but "I retire and use social security and my 401k on a schedule that would have been unsurprising to year 2000 normies" seems mostly not on the menu.

@EvanDaniel Thanks for engaging! I was hoping to get some interesting responses like this.

You seem to have identified an area where you have certain beliefs and IMO this space is worthy of exploration with highly subsidized markets to see what a broader class of people thinks. Things related to "social security" and "retirement" are long-term planning objectives for many, and having markets to help guide those decisions feels like a reasonable step to take -- whether you have 10 years left or 30.

If anyone else here wants to make markets like that, let me know, I could sponsor them.

@Eliza I think the LLM collapse will change retirement attitudes—a lot of folks in the slop business will see their "FIRE" plans fall apart.