This market resolves to YES if the official monthly minimum wage in Venezuela is increased to an amount strictly greater than 40,000 VES (Sovereign Bolívares) on or before May 1, 2026.
Resolution criteria:
The increase must be officially announced by Vice President Delcy Rodríguez or officially published in the Official Gazette (Gaceta Oficial) on or before May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM (Caracas time).
The 40,000 VES threshold refers exclusively to the base salary (salario mínimo base). Government bonuses, such as the Cestaticket or Bono de Guerra Económica, do not count toward this total.
If the currency is redenominated before the deadline, the mathematically equivalent value in the new currency will be used to resolve the market.
Resolves to NO if the base minimum wage remains at or below 40,000 VES by the deadline.
It's 130 per month at the moment, the government is emphasising a "cautious", "responsible", "inflation-aware" increase, 40,000+ per month doesn't seem like that.