Kalshi has J.D. Vance at 37% and Marco Rubio at 32%.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28

Interestingly, Polymarket diverges some - J.D. Vance at 38% and Marco Rubio at 27%

https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2028-election/iran-marco-rubio-trump-2028-succession-jd-vance-rcna261794

With a group of roughly 25 GOP donors, … Trump asked the room whom they would prefer he support for president in 2028.

Attendees overwhelmingly indicated Secretary of State Marco Rubio through their cheering, according to two people who were at the event.

“It was almost unanimous for Marco,” said a person in attendance, who, like others in this article, was granted anonymity to speak candidly.

And so the chips fall.

@Quroe @SemioticRivalry dang it I should've been getting Vance shares more aggressively around 50%.

@bens I put up a 10k limit order on NO at 59% in case there are any takers

Assassins always have a trick up their sleeve, it seems.

Rubio says he will not run if Vance runs: https://nypost.com/2025/12/16/us-news/marco-rubio-rules-out-2028-run-if-jd-vance-seeks-republican-nomination/

@Porcupine Consulted a skin tone chart.

JD Vance's lawyer implied while arguing at the Supreme Court that he will likely run for president in 2028 (because if he didn't, a case concerning his Senate campaign funds would be moot).

I think Pete Hegseth is going to win the Republican nominee for president in 2028.

Can you add Steve Bannon to the list?

Related:

Not gonna be JD, unless Trump really pushes. He was specifically picked because he is so unlikable and cringe, so he is not a risk for trump during his term.

Polymarket just released there market for this https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1752950217557

Exit YES limit orders up for Vance and Tulsi Gabbard

Big limit order up for Vance NO at 52%, any takers?

Travesty of the ages to consider it like this one iota of the being.

I can't believe two guys who are constitutionally prohibited from being president are both getting double what Ron desantis is getting right now 😂

https://www.aol.com/trump-reveals-doesn-t-view-210634837.html

@traders There is a related market here:

😅

@Houston2025

I have a 3rd Trump Term market. 2028 is just at 2%

https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/3rd-trump-term-in

Bought 5 yes on Elon at 0.3%, he's already first friend or whatever we want to call it, and it's theoretically possible that an amendment could be passed