How old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Basic
24
Ṁ19742028
98.1%
Over 35
80%
Over 40
72%
Over 45
68%
Over 50
64%
Over 55
55%
Over 60
49%
Over 65
35%
Over 70
33%
Over 75
11%
Over 80
5%
Over 85
Age will be determined by their age on election day, 2028.
Any amount of time once they've reached the age will mean they've over that age; that is to say, someone does not have to turn 41 for the "Over 40" option to resolve YES, so long as they have turned 40 by election day.
This market will resolve once the nominee is chosen by the party at the National Convention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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