(Before 2030) How will China actually initiate the annexation of Taiwan?
11
92
Ṁ397Ṁ563
Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
64%
None (no direct annexation attempt)
9%
Formal ultimatum -- China will formally request for talks to discuss annexation ("or else")
11%
An small incident (whether accidental or planned) snowballs into a full scale conflict
15%
Direct hostilities -- Surprise large scale military action (blockade, direct attack, etc.)
1.8%
Closes end of this year (2024). Resolves when China does something or in 2030.
If you think 'other' please say what you think in the comments.
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