Will manifold think "it would be safer if all AI was open source" when:
15
1kṀ866
2100
8%
It's 2025 Jan
10%
It's 2026 Jan
6%
GPT 5 comes out
10%
Llama 4 comes out
30%
It's 2030

At each of the dates in this market I'll run a poll asking:

"Would it be safer for humanity if all AI was open source?"

First poll:

2nd poll - Jan 2025

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
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