Would it be safer for humanity if all AI was open source?
Would it be safer for humanity if all AI was open source?
77
resolved May 1
Yes
No
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Existential risks are overrated (by manifold), economic risks are severely underrated and already happening.
@Jono3h this interview with Zuck was actually my inspiration for this pole.
At 38 minutes they discuss the dangers of open source and at 48:50 he agrees with you @ProjectVictory that, at least in the short term, the biggest harms aren't the existential ones but the real ones that exist today.
@Daniel_MC make it not sound like an argument in favor of wearing a LotR ring of power
sure you might end up as a slave to Sauron forever, but before that you can solve a lot of your people's problems
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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