Does open sourcing LLMs/AI models (a la meta) increase risk of AI catastrophe?
2
140Ṁ252036
61%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will OpenAI release an open source model?
Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
29% chance
Will OpenAI go back on its voluntary commitment to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
39% chance
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
18% chance
Will Meta join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
22% chance
Will Google join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
27% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
26% chance
Will there be a disaster caused by open source developers doing unsafe things with AI by 2028?
62% chance
Will Open Source chip development have been a crucial factor for enabling a global AI moratorium?
19% chance
Will manifold think "it would be safer if all AI was open source" when: