SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration

Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?

Will a government mandate restrict access to an OpenAI or xAI model on security or safety grounds before 2027?

A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027

Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?

Will there be a disaster caused by open source developers doing unsafe things with AI by 2028?

Will Open Source chip development have been a crucial factor for enabling a global AI moratorium?

Will manifold think "it would be safer if all AI was open source" when:

Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)