
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
16
1.1kṀ3072030
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
Attention is all you need
16%
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition
59%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
8% chance
Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
5% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
20% chance
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
22% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
Who will be the most cited ML researcher alive in 2040?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
8% chance
Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
5% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will this paper (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.00965) get at least 50 citations by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
20% chance
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
22% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
Who will be the most cited ML researcher alive in 2040?