Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

Question

Year and citation count according to google scholar.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Other, followed by Gpt-4 passes the bar exam and Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3 are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Mar 16, 2026).