Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's reported tin production for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending May 31, 2026, is below 35 kilotonnes as published in their official production reports or Chinese government mining statistics. This market reflects the impact of Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, which covers about 12% of global supply and has tightened the market significantly. The threshold of 35 kt is near the expected production level considering current geopolitical constraints and export restrictions. Only primary tin production counts; recycled tin or downstream processing volumes do not count. Resolution data will be sourced from Jinbaobao's official disclosures or authoritative Chinese mining industry reports.

Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.

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