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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of bismuth on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
Dec 31
86%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has active export controls on bismuth metal under MOFCOM decrees. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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