Will George R.R. Martin finish Winds of Winter by the end of 2024?
29
432
1k
2025
26%
chance

Any announcement by Martin that the book is finished will qualify as a "yes". Does not need to have a publication date.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 of NO

I created a more realistic question:

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Entering into a happiness hedge.