Will Nature's latest "phrenology but this time with AI" paper get retracted before 2025?
Plus
11
Ṁ738Dec 31
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Paper in question: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-31796-1
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
The authors don't stand to benefit from issuing a retraction themselves, and the lead author seems to support the narrative surrounding the paper. I don't think Scientific Reports will find any grave (technical) flaw to merit retraction in this case, even if the results are dubious.
Related questions
Related questions
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
49% chance
Will this paper: “ Transformative AGI by 2043 is <1% likely” be disproven or severely held in doubt before 2025
35% chance
How many papers published in Nature will be retracted in 2024?
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
20% chance
Will a currently-published paper on autogynephilia be retracted by the end of 2028?
64% chance
Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
58% chance
Will a published research paper be revealed to have been written by an AI before 2025?
83% chance
Major blunder in a physics paper attributed to AI by the end of 2025
43% chance
Will Manifold be cited in a paper from a top-tier AI lab or AI journal before 2025?
20% chance
Will an AI alignment research paper be featured on the cover of a prestigious scientific journal? (2024)
20% chance