Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
131
2.1kṀ11k2028
66%
chance
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Resolves according to my subjective judgement. I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary. I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
"Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
Related markets from me on effective altruism:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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