Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
131
2.1kṀ11k2028
66%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to my subjective judgement. I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary. I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
"Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
Related markets from me on effective altruism:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
66% chance
In 100 years, will Effective Altruism be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?
73% chance
Will Destiny be an effective altruist by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
21% chance
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
27% chance
Will there be an effective altruist on the moon before 2035
13% chance
Will research towards time travel be a cause area of Effective Altruism before 2030?
6% chance
Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?
10% chance
Will BasedBeffJezos be seen at an Effective Altruism Global (EAG) conference by EOY2028?
17% chance