
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
20
1káš4642030
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Also includes legislative branch, congress, senate, house of representatives etc as long as it's at the national level.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
36% chance
Will Destiny be an effective altruist by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
66% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
66% chance
In 100 years, will Effective Altruism be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?
73% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
13% chance
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
27% chance
Will research towards time travel be a cause area of Effective Altruism before 2030?
6% chance