Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
74
1.4kṀ12k
2036
78%
chance

Discussed briefly in the "We can do better" section of Holden Karnofsky's blog post: "How we could stumble into AI catastrophe".

Resolves positively if:

  • Holden himself publicly claims that this specific illustrative scenario has already come to pass

  • Multiple news organizations report generally that AI development standards have been developed and are being enforced internationally

  • My personal friends that are most well-acquainted with AI agree with me that this question should resolve positively

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