Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
31
1kṀ1917
2026
15%
chance

Resolves YES if the US passes legislation or executive orders with the intent of making it illegal for frontier AI companies to publish models with dangerous capabilities.

For the market to resolve YES, the regulations can be imperfect or flawed, but the spirit and goal of the regulations needs to be to mitigate AI risk.

Will be resolved in the spirit of the question at the time of creation.

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