Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?
Basic
9
Ṁ2362030
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positive if >$100M USD is granted in any calendar year before 2030, towards AI alignment efforts. I will deduct amount given to non-existential risk related projects (i.e. misinformation, bias, autonomous weapons).
I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria in the first 42 hours. And modifications will be made in good faith.
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
5% chance
Will a large scale, government-backed AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
9% chance
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
59% chance
Will a very large-scale AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
9% chance
Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?
38% chance
Will a >$10B AI alignment megaproject start work before 2030?
29% chance
Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
5% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
In 2024, will an AI evaluation start up raise more than 10 million in EU?
34% chance
Will there be a noticeable effort to increase AI transparency by 2025?
50% chance