Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030? | Manifold

Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?

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2030

81%

chance

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1W

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Resolves positive if >$100M USD is granted in any calendar year before 2030, towards AI alignment efforts. I will deduct amount given to non-existential risk related projects (i.e. misinformation, bias, autonomous weapons).

I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria in the first 42 hours. And modifications will be made in good faith.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#️ AI Alignment

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I feel like for all nations combined $100M wouldn't be that much. That's $2.5M per developed country.

@vberlier Possibly, although I suspect there would be a fat-tail in contributions.

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