Will the U.S. create a new federal agency to regulate AI by the end of 2024?

When will a national law be in force in the US imposing safety requirements on the training/deployment of AI models?

Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?

Will existential risks from AI still be considered a top problem to work on within the EA community by the end of 2024?

Before 2028, will there be a major self-improving AI policy*?

Will we have a sufficient level of international coordination to ensure that AI is no longer threat before 2030?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?

Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?