October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Resolves from GISTemp data)
Basic
7
Ṁ1146resolved Nov 16
100%99.0%
1.29-1.34
0.2%
<1.17
0.2%
1.17-1.22
0.2%
1.23-1.28
0.2%
1.35-1.40
0.2%
>1.40
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
Once the data becomes available, this market can immediately resolve regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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