Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
88
395
Ṁ8.5KṀ1.1K
2025
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
Data source: Met Office Hadley Centre
resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ100 of YES
Real probability seems higher than current market.
@AmmonLam could you add HadCET to the title so I can differentiate it in my list by data set? TY.
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