Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

Standard

119

Ṁ18kFeb 1

97%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly**Data source:** Met Office Hadley Centre

resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.

Get

1,000

and1.00

Sort by:

Real probability seems higher than current market.

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

97% chance

Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?

38% chance

Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?

55% chance

Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?

97% chance

Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?

60% chance

How will the average global temperature in 2024 compare to 2023? (as reported by NASA)

will 2030 be hotter than 2023?

73% chance

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

40% chance

[Climate Change] How much global warming will we have by the end of 2024?

1.3

Will 2024 be even hotter than 2023? 🥵

97% chance