Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

92

418

Ṁ9.1kṀ1.1k

2025

69%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly**Data source:** Met Office Hadley Centre

resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

Real probability seems higher than current market.

@AmmonLam could you add HadCET to the title so I can differentiate it in my list by data set? TY.

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