Will Nikki Haley finish first in the NH primary on Jan 23, 2024?
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resolved Jan 24
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NO

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predicted YES

Not bullish on Haley’s chances in any other state, but the contrarian record of the NH primary leads me to think the right odds of a Haley win are 30-40%. Will probably exit if this goes up after polls without Christie start coming out.

bought Ṁ30 of YES

Chris Christie is dropping out. Major boost for Haley.

bought Ṁ30 NO from 31% to 30%
bought Ṁ30 of NO

@Bruce54df Even if Ron dropped out, I don't think the combined opposition stands a chance to trump