Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
21
1kṀ2239
2026
80%
chance

This market resolves YES if there is a successfully launch to orbit of a rocket not built by SpaceX with the first stage landing intact, by the close date.

Any method for getting the booster back to the ground intact is fine, including parachutes and catching.

The market will resolve as soon as the landing happens. It does not actually need to be reused, just intact enough to reuse in theory, potentially with refurbishment.

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Ṁ1,000
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