Non-SpaceX propulsive first stage landing by 2025?
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25%
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This market resolves YES if there is a successfully launch to orbit of a rocket not built by SpaceX with the first stage landing intact, by the close date.
The landing must be propulsive - parachutes or gliding to a runway are not allowed.
The market will resolve as soon as the landing happens. It does not actually need to be reused, just intact enough to reuse in theory, potentially with refurbishment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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