
If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?
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38%
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Resolves YES if any political opponent of Trump is arrested on charges brought at Trump’s behest. This is in response to Trump’s recent statement that “there are enemies within”.
Criminal charges against any public figure perceived by Trump or his supporters to have acted contrary to Trump qualify for this market.
Criminal charges that result in arrest resolve YES, even if the defendant is booked and released pending trial.
Charges that do not result in arrest (eg civil charges) do not resolve this market.
The results of trials based on charges that predate Trump’s second term do not resolve this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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