If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
37
Ṁ1kṀ3.5k2029
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to N/A if Trump is not elected or if he is not convicted of any charges (a preemptive, but potentially unnecessary pardon attempt would resolve YES).
By pardon attempt, I mean drafting and signing a pardon absolving himself of any offense.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Presidents can't pardon themselves. Do you mean "will he attempt to pardon himself"?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
35% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
50% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
47% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
72% chance
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
40% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
24% chance
Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
68% chance
If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
99% chance
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
33% chance
Will Trump pardon SBF?
11% chance