Live updating visualization of conditional odds:

How correlated are these events? Let's find out.

What counts?

• Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.

• Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.

• Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.

• It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

Winning the election is defined by reliable media sources reporting.