MANIFOLD
Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?
59
Ṁ3.4kṀ28k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Resolved
N/A
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO
Resolved
NO

Feel free to add yourselves or any other user :p

"Not active" is not defined precisely, but the idea is that if someone essentially stops going on manifold a few times per week, for a month or two, their option can resolve NO.

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Cancelled Tumbles bc it seems pretty ambiguous whether the alt should count or not

bought Ṁ874 NO

@Bayesian this one seems ready to resolve also

@geuber 👋😅

bought Ṁ1,081 NO

@Bayesian can also resolve no

bought Ṁ814 NO

@Bayesian can resolve no

@Bayesian Blankspace got banned, his option can resolve

@bagelfan what'd he do (apart from the usual)?

@benshindel He didn't start doing anything different but him constantly starting his hateful views across many markets grew tiresome and mods recommended a ban.

Here's the statement from @SirSalty

(sorry for the late reply)

@Bayesian resolve please

🙃

😭

bought Ṁ250 NO

@Bayesian

Eliezer hasn’t been active for a couple months, and Ammon stopped being active for an extended period too.

bought Ṁ250 YES

@stardust Inspired by jim's market!

bought Ṁ150 NO

@Bayesian a bunch of these should resolve no

Thanks

wait, should people not buy their own option to 100%, because if they quit the app it won't be a disadvantage to lose this mana anyway? hmMmMmMm

@Bayesian I've been shorting everyone except Gabrielle bc of this distortionary effect 🤭

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 40% order

@Stralor got a limit order on my option >:)

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Bayesian sure I'll bite a lil out for now :D

@Bayesian If I do this, I will lose my ranking in the leagues when someone bets against me

@khang2009 lol ty for pointing that out, I unranked the market

bought Ṁ100 YES

I've been around since the beginning, I'll probably still be around

bought Ṁ10 NO

very likely they will take a break

@nikki I've taken a break before, so I can see myself taking a break again

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