Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?
Manifoldโ€ขManifold Business Futureโ€ขManifold Users
24
280
แน€2.4K
2026
96%
@Tumbles
87%
@Gabrielle
84%
@Joshua
80%
@Bohreromir
61%
@RobertCousineau
56%
@snazzlePop
54%
@Bayesian
53%
@shankypanky
50%
@Unown
48%
@Eliza
47%
@MartinRandall
40%
@strutheo
38%
@SteveSokolowski
35%
@mattyb
33%
@EliezerYudkowsky
28%
@Ammonlam
22%
@Aella
11%
@NicoDelon

Feel free to add yourselves or any other user :p

"Not active" is not defined precisely, but the idea is that if someone essentially stops going on manifold a few times per week, for a month or two, their option can resolve NO.

Get แน€200 play money

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wait, should people not buy their own option to 100%, because if they quit the app it won't be a disadvantage to lose this mana anyway? hmMmMmMm

@Bayesian I've been shorting everyone except Gabrielle bc of this distortionary effect ๐Ÿคญ

opened a แน€500 @Bayesian YES at 40% order

@Stralor got a limit order on my option >:)

bought แน€50 @Bayesian NO

@Bayesian sure I'll bite a lil out for now :D

@Gabrielle
bought แน€100 @Gabrielle YES

I've been around since the beginning, I'll probably still be around

bought แน€10 @Ammonlam NO

very likely they will take a break

@nikki I've taken a break before, so I can see myself taking a break again

It's actually so hard to tell if I should buy any of these up or down, so passes the new market sniff test

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