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MANIFOLD
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?
0
Ṁ1k
2027
50%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls any part of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.

This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.

For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:

Close date

This market is set to close at 22:00 UTC on 30 November 2027.

Clarifications

If a resolution source fails to update for 30 consecutive days, it may be removed as a resolution source. A majority of the remaining sources will then be required for a YES resolution.

This market will use the city boundaries displayed on the Google Maps app. Note that Google may adjust city boundaries over time.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
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