Will Russia control Slavyansk by the end of 2029?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ252029
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls the entirety of Slavyansk, Donetsk Oblast according to a consensus of reputable media outlets or war mappers.
This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
Close date
This market is set to close at 22:00 UTC on 31 December 2029.
Clarifications
I may trade in this market. If I believe the resolution of this market is likely to be contentious, I will either sell my shares or entrust a Manifold mod with resolving the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?
59% chance
Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of January 2027?
52% chance
Will Russia control at least 95% of Donbass at the end of October 2026?
48% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Russia control Konstantinovka by the end of November 2026?
41% chance
Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?
9% chance
Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?
41% chance
Will Russia control Druzhkivka by the end of September 2027?
50% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will Russia control Dobropillya by the end of June 2027?
40% chance