US invades Greenland by force by Jan 20th, 2029?
16
Ṁ1kṀ4.6k2029
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the US uses force or the threat of force to take control of the island by the end of Trump's second term. Resolves NO otherwise. Edge cases will be decided by me in accordance with the outcome most closely matching the spirit of the question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
15% chance
Will Trump Invade Greenland by February 28
1% chance
Will the US invade Greenland less than 2 weeks after the Winter Olympics
2% chance
Would the invasion of Greenland by US military force be unethical and immoral?
What date will Greenland be invaded by the United States?
1/6/30
Will Canada send troops to Greenland?
22% chance
Will the United States acquire or gain sovereignty over any part of Greenland by March 31, 2026?
5% chance
Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
25% chance
US buys Greenland in 2026?
5% chance
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
11% chance