US buys Greenland in 2026?
122
1kṀ53k
2027
7%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.

Conditions for Resolution:

• The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.

• The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.

Exclusions:

• Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.

• Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count.

Primary Sources:

• Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland.

• Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).

If no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”

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Title says 'by 2026', description says 'by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST', seems the title should be changed to 'by EOY 2026' or 'by 2027'

@TheAllMemeingEye Since we're already in 2026 - to make it current, I'm changing it to "US buys Greenland in 2026?

What if the US announces the acquisition but Greenland or Denmark disputes the legitimacy of the transaction?

Wild that this was at 22% earlier lol. Like... what's the logic here?

@MalachiteEagle There is no logic here or there. Welcome to Trump’s America.

@Predictor Maybe he's trying to provoke allies into making threats in response or something? So he can then escalate... for... ??? 😂

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