Will Donald Trump annex Greenland into the US before 2027?
Will Donald Trump annex Greenland into the US before 2027?
31
100Ṁ14032027
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Closes if the US gains control of Greenland in any way before 01/01/2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Trump buy Greenland?
3% chance
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
1% chance
Will Trump "buy" Greenland multi-market? 🤝💚🧊
Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of July?
3% chance
Will Trump step foot in Greenland before the USA controls a part of it?
44% chance
Will the US formally annexation Greenland by Dec 31, 2030>
9% chance
Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of the year?
8% chance
Will Greenland become a member of the EU before 2040?
62% chance
What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
4% chance