Will Paul Graham create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
25%
chance

Resolves YES if Paul Graham creates a market by the end of 2023. Resolves NO if not.

Will Paul Graham create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
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YES payouts
Ṁ282
Ṁ72
Ṁ62
Ṁ40
Ṁ27
NO payouts
Ṁ194
Ṁ13
Ṁ12