Will Mike Johnson be the last speaker of the 118th Congress?
Will Mike Johnson be the last speaker of the 118th Congress?
resolved by
50
1kṀ19kresolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ562 | |
2 | Ṁ208 | |
3 | Ṁ149 | |
4 | Ṁ72 | |
5 | Ṁ65 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2026?
43% chance
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
54% chance
Will Mike Johnson still be speaker at the end of Trump's term?
8% chance
Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?
30% chance
When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house?
Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Will the next Republican Speaker of the House (after Mike Johnson) be a white male?
83% chance
Will the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
23% chance
Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position?
40% chance
Who will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?