Will Mike Johnson be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?

Question

Resolves Yes if Johnson is the Speaker or Minority Leader following the Midterms. Resolves when the first Speaker and Minority Leader are elected.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (2 traders, as of Oct 19, 2026).

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