Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?
4
20
แน€70
2031
69%
chance

Resolves YES if:

Mike Johnson spends one full term as Speaker of the House. This doesn't mean being Speaker for two years without gaps - it means being speaker for one full session of Congress. Specifically, he must be elected Speaker at the beginning of the Congressional session (in January of an odd-numbered year) and remain Speaker until the next Congress is inaugurated.

Resolves NO if:

Mike Johnson dies, or a different Republican becomes Speaker of the House.

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