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MANIFOLD
If Republicans lose the house, will Mike Johnson serve out the whole of his next term?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k
2029
62%
chance

Resolves YES if Mike Johnson completes a term in the US House from Jan 3 2027 to Jan 3 2029.

It does not matter what position Mike Johnson is in, eg. if he is House Minority leader or not, it only matters that he completes his term as a congressman from Louisiana’s 4th district.

Resolves NO if he leaves his role as a congressman in the US House for any reason, even if he does come back.

Resolves N/A if Republicans maintain control of the US House after the 2026 elections.

Resolves NO if he loses his election in 2026.

He has suggested he could leave the house, https://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/news/2026/10/09/will-speaker-mike-johnson-leave-congress-if-republicans-lose-majority-in-house/92159665007/

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bought Ṁ350 YES

oops my first bet I thought it just meant as speaker