Resolves YES if confirmed that Lex Fridman created a market on Manifold by end of 2023.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,758 | |
| 2 | Ṁ729 | |
| 3 | Ṁ667 | |
| 4 | Ṁ487 | |
| 5 | Ṁ245 |
@MichaelWheatley We know that account was created in association with @Aella interview. So I don’t understand the reasoning?
@fiddledidee His email has been verified by manifold admins. So specifically: https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-be-convinced-that-the-manifo?r=UHNldWRvbnltb3VzQWx0#h42LTxIkqWvFdN03IiF4
See also the more ambitious version:
And give your insights on Lex's market!
Lex here. I just created my first market: https://manifold.markets/LexFridman/will-lex-fridman-interview-vladimir-0cc5888760ac
Why is this so high? @LexFridman joined manifold, perhaps around the time of a possible episode recording, made two trades on markets mentioning him, and has been inactive since. Why has this market been above 75% for so long?
@DesTiny let's see if/when that podcast comes out. If he bet during a podcast just to play around, then it doesn't mean much
@firstuserhere and i think this market should converge to resemble that retention rate eventually
@firstuserhere that could be true, but I think he'd atleast read what the market was about, or maybe he specifically did that to trick people and it's shown in the podcast. idk
@DesTiny To @firstuserhere 's poin if he bet on himself on a whim as a quick way to try out Manifold, he holds absolutely no value in his mind to his free internet points because he effectively left the platform.