But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman?

Question

Top forecasters speculate that despite verification from the site admins, @LexFridman may not be the real Lex Fridman. This market will not resolve until DEFINITIVE proof emerges.

Such proof would need to originate from an official channel, such as confirmation on Lex's twitter, podcast, etc.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 97% chance (43 traders, as of Feb 4, 2026).