Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin by end of 2023?
1170
closes Dec 31
6%
chance

Get Ṁ500 play money

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uair01 avatar
uair01predicts NO

Related news (slightly), from Twitter:

The US government has banned Tucker Carlson from interviewing Vladimir Putin.

“You know, I tried to interview Putin, and the American government stopped me. What, we can’t hear Putin’s voice?! Why? Nobody voted on this issue,” Carlson said in an interview with the Swiss magazine Die Weltwoche.

He emphasized that the American authorities have been controlling all media for several decades, and citizens do not know the true state of affairs

2 replies
LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hankspredicts NO

@uair01 Do you consider Tucker Carlson a good source of information?

uair01 avatar
uair01predicts NO

@LukeHanks No, but it's a data point. Weltwoche is a rightist populist weekly, but the editors are very smart.

MrLuke255 avatar
MrLuke255predicts YES
1 reply
jbca avatar
jbcapredicts NO

@MrLuke255 It sounds like he’s trying to suck up to increase his chances of making this happen. Kind of reminds me of his initial posts on Elon’s Twitter.

8 avatar
Trongpredicts YES

As a member of Vladimir Putin's and Lex Fridman's inner circles, this is happening by November 24.

5 replies
nottelling2ccc avatar
not tellingpredicts NO

@8 Why are you a member of Putin’s inner circle, if you don’t mind me asking?

nickten avatar
nickten💙💦🐬predicts NO

@8 stay away from windows browski 💀

8 avatar
Trongpredicts YES

@nottelling2ccc not telling 😂

mxxun avatar
mxxunsold Ṁ20 of NO

@nottelling2ccc "Why" is easy! "How"'s way more interesting.

JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmerpredicts NO

@nottelling2ccc he's just responding to Mira's comment below (about not being in either of the inner circles)

JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmerbought Ṁ0 of NO

This market is way overpriced. It seems that Putin hasn't given a single interview with Western media this year (or does anyone have a counterexample?), and Lex Fridman isn't especially likely to succeed at this compared to other journalists; it's not like he has an existing relationship to Putin or otherwise a strong connection

2 replies
roma avatar
Romabought Ṁ27 of NO

@JonasVollmer IIRC Lex said at some point that he has some connections, and believes that he could pull this off. On the other hand, Lex says a lot of things, so I'm still betting NO

JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmerpredicts NO

@Roma yeah. He does speak Russian apparently. But overall still really unlikely

Mirabought Ṁ89 ofYES
JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmer

@Mira, you made lots of YES orders—any reason why you think this may happen?

1 reply
Mira avatar
Mira 🍎predicts YES

@JonasVollmer I am not a member of Vladimir Putin's inner circle, or of Lex Fridman's. So I have no special information regarding their schedules. Your guess is as good as mine on whether this interview will happen.

Mira avatar
Mira 🍎predicts YES

With all the recent Russian plane crash drama, there's some risk something weird will happen that will cause this market to resolve NA. I've left M3k in long-odds YES limit orders here:

1 reply
KongoLandwalker avatar
Kongo Landwalkerbought Ṁ100 of NO

@Mira tell us an artificial situation how it can resolve na. Putin dies = NO

Mirek avatar
Quantum Gamblerpredicts NO

I have recently become concerned how will it resolve if the @LexFridman changes name???

1 reply
levifinkelstein avatar
Levi Finkelstein [BANNED]predicts YES

@Mirek Don't worry, I have a PhD in the philosophy of language and can assure you that the language clearly indicates referent sub-classing over the Lex token in the first-order modality.

levifinkelstein avatar
Levi Finkelstein [BANNED]predicts YES

IT'S HAPPENING!

1 reply
8 avatar
Trongpredicts YES