Related questions
Related news (slightly), from Twitter:
The US government has banned Tucker Carlson from interviewing Vladimir Putin.
“You know, I tried to interview Putin, and the American government stopped me. What, we can’t hear Putin’s voice?! Why? Nobody voted on this issue,” Carlson said in an interview with the Swiss magazine Die Weltwoche.
He emphasized that the American authorities have been controlling all media for several decades, and citizens do not know the true state of affairs
@LukeHanks No, but it's a data point. Weltwoche is a rightist populist weekly, but the editors are very smart.
Same question:
https://manifold.markets/JacobWood/will-vladimir-putin-appear-on-the-l
overvalued af, there's really no chance of this happening

@MrLuke255 It sounds like he’s trying to suck up to increase his chances of making this happen. Kind of reminds me of his initial posts on Elon’s Twitter.

As a member of Vladimir Putin's and Lex Fridman's inner circles, this is happening by November 24.
@8 Why are you a member of Putin’s inner circle, if you don’t mind me asking?


@nottelling2ccc he's just responding to Mira's comment below (about not being in either of the inner circles)
This market is way overpriced. It seems that Putin hasn't given a single interview with Western media this year (or does anyone have a counterexample?), and Lex Fridman isn't especially likely to succeed at this compared to other journalists; it's not like he has an existing relationship to Putin or otherwise a strong connection
@JonasVollmer IIRC Lex said at some point that he has some connections, and believes that he could pull this off. On the other hand, Lex says a lot of things, so I'm still betting NO
@Roma yeah. He does speak Russian apparently. But overall still really unlikely

@JonasVollmer I am not a member of Vladimir Putin's inner circle, or of Lex Fridman's. So I have no special information regarding their schedules. Your guess is as good as mine on whether this interview will happen.

With all the recent Russian plane crash drama, there's some risk something weird will happen that will cause this market to resolve NA. I've left M3k in long-odds YES limit orders here:
@Mira tell us an artificial situation how it can resolve na. Putin dies = NO
I have recently become concerned how will it resolve if the @LexFridman changes name???

@Mirek Don't worry, I have a PhD in the philosophy of language and can assure you that the language clearly indicates referent sub-classing over the Lex token in the first-order modality.

























