
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
40
1kṀ18k2029
93%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
34% chance
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
30% chance
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
42% chance
How many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?
14% chance
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
47% chance
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
36% chance