Will Clarence Thomas leave the supreme court before 2025? | Manifold

Will Clarence Thomas leave the supreme court before 2025?

🇺🇸 US Politics Gerontocracy

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Jan 1

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2023/04/16/clarence-thomas-ginger-financial-disclosure/

predicts NO

predicts NO

Related market: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-samuel-alito-leave-the-supreme

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html

Actuarial tables give him a ~78% chance of surviving until then and once you condition on his social class and current state of health it's probably higher than that.

Related questions

Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?

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Will Clarence Thomas recuse himself from any Trump case before 2025?

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Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?

Related questions

Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?

Will Clarence Thomas recuse himself from any Trump case before 2025?

Will Sotomayor leave the supreme court before 2025?

Will Clarence Thomas rule with the Majority on Jack Smith's Supreme Court petition to see if Donald Trump has immunity?

Will a United States Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be impeached and removed before Jan. 20th 2025?

Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2025 presidential inauguration?

Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?