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What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
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Ṁ1kṀ4.7k
2032
Resignation84%

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bought Ṁ5 YES

If it's caused by resignation, than it's almost certain that a Republican will appoint the replacement.

Expansion?

bought Ṁ10 NO

Damn forgot about impeachment…

bought Ṁ10 NO

@BTE Could group that with resignation and not change the odds

People are also trading

Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
78% chance
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
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+6% 1d24% chance
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Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
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