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MANIFOLD
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
23
Ṁ1kṀ4.7k
2032
Resignation84%

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Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
77% chance
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Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
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Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
13% chance
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bought Ṁ5 YES

If it's caused by resignation, than it's almost certain that a Republican will appoint the replacement.

Expansion?

bought Ṁ10 NO

Damn forgot about impeachment…

bought Ṁ10 NO

@BTE Could group that with resignation and not change the odds

People are also trading

Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
-3% 1d77% chance
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Who will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
+4% 1d13% chance
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed?