Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
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2029
73%
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To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis

If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to resolving according to a different source.

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Broad Consensus Clarification

    • If Wikipedia lists a constitutional crisis but there is a broad consensus that it has not occurred, the resolution may be based on a different, less biased source.

    • A broad consensus requires more than strong disagreement (for example, stark differences between left and right perspectives); in such a case, Wikipedia remains the guiding source.

    • Ongoing events mentioned on Wikipedia do not yet qualify as a full-fledged constitutional crisis.

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@MalachiteEagle can't wait for the court to rule that it's actually legal to vandalize teslas

@Shai I think that's unlikely to happen, but can't talk for jury trials.

@Shai I do however think it's plausible that the executive branch will use elon musk as a proxy to break the law, and then trump will pardon him. Then they will use terrorism laws to defend musk against people who try and push back against that.

@Shai I would argue that it looks like they are setting the stage up for precisely that sequence of events.

@MatthewYglesias argued in 2015 that a constitutional crisis was coming in the next few decades: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/2/8120063/american-democracy-doomed

Another far left source admits there is no constitutional crisis

and if you think economist is not far left, just look at the pictures, all in red

@skibidist Haha. I remember referencing the economist in a left wing discussion and being told it's obviously a far right source, just look at the name.

@MartinRandall Sadly, both "wings" tend to suffer from ideological myopia

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