Will the US have a revolution before 2100?
Plus
23
Ṁ36742100
3%
Communist/Socialist revolution
53%
Fascist/Nationalist revolution
8%
Other revolution
36%
No revolution
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Stralor The regime has to actually change by overthrowing the old regime. If the resulting government crashes and burns after a short time, that still counts.
Does AI wiping out humanity count as a revolution? https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th
@MatthewLichti This was my thinking as well for "Other Revolution", although AGI world government coexisting with humans is also a possibility.
@ImperishableNeet We just have to hope the AI lets us keep our mana after the revolution instead of paperclipping us.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
50% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
24% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
57% chance
Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?
21% chance
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
69% chance
Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?
19% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?
38% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance