Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
15
100Ṁ569
2027
55%
chance
3

This includes

Any dramatic change to the governing apparatus at the federal level: extending presidential terms, prosecution of political enemies in some dramatic form, changing how elections are held, a dramatic change in state power

A crisis between different branches of the government: I.e the courts rule that a certain candidate won a major election, the house disagrees and tries to fight it leading to a crisis. Or a certain body declares another one illegitimate

Any sort of major change is civil liberties, any major act of insurrection (that is successful), a successful independence resolution by a state…etc

Basically anything that profoundly changes how the US operates and has wide reaching impacts in people’s lives, will be highly polarizing

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Just to be clear, the current level of prosecuting political opponents wouldn’t be sufficient?

No - the cases against Trump haven’t been directed by Biden and have been largely conducted in the traditional legal framework. If Biden passed a bunch of laws targeting Trump, or used his executive powers to over rule the courts, that would be different

Same w hunter, he did (probably) commit those crimes.

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